Steven Millerwriter and researcher interested in forecasting, cultural economics, and institutional design.

I'm an Emergent Ventures Fellow and an undergrad studying Statistics & Machine Learning in the Quantitative Social Science Scholars honors program at Carnegie Mellon. I organized Second Order San Salvador, an international political economy conference funded by the Mercatus Center, featuring speakers including Robin Hanson and Garrett Jones. I've written for Reason and contributed to Works in Progress.

I consult on market design, implementation, and forecasting methodology. I'm a Superforecaster designated by Philip Tetlock's lab at the University of Pennsylvania, and previously worked as an analyst at Pragmata Partners, a consultancy that exclusively recruits superforecasters. If you're designing markets, or want more sophisticated probabilistic thinking for your organization, contact me at steviebmiller2 [at] gmail [dot] com.

Photography — portraits contributed to Wikimedia Commons; for several subjects, the first and only freely licensed image

Razib Khan
Matthew Continetti
Amy Wax
Wilfred McClay
Noah Smith
Aaron Sibarium
Natalie Winters
Tim Mak
Michael Tracey
Lomez
Stuart Ritchie
Richard Hanania
Bryan Caplan
Garrett Jones
Rob Henderson
KIRAC
Jeremy Carl
David Shor